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The original was posted on /r/singularity by /u/After_Self5383 on 2024-10-17 17:04:31+00:00.

Original Title: Yann LeCun: “I said that reaching Human-Level AI “will take several years if not a decade.” Sam Altman says “several thousand days” which is at least 2000 days (6 years) or perhaps 3000 days (9 years). So we’re not in disagreement. […] In any case, it’s not going to be in the next year or two.”

I said that reaching Human-Level AI “will take several years if not a decade.”

Sam Altman says “several thousand days” which is at least 2000 days (6 years) or perhaps 3000 days (9 years). So we’re not in disagreement.

But I think the distribution has a long tail: it could take much longer than that. In AI, it almost always takes longer.

In any case, it’s not going to be in the next year or two.