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The original was posted on /r/cfb by /u/theEverglow17 on 2023-06-26 15:15:42+00:00.


I was inspired by the Solid Verbal guys discussing what certain programs need to do to maintain a win plateau of different win totals (i.e. what would it take for Minnesota to reach 10 wins regularly).

I decided to apply this to the B1G in general by dividing the league up into tiers of reasonably expected win averages over the next 5 years or so.

Obviously, teams may over or under perform their averages year to year. Here’s what I came up with for the Big Ten:

Tier I (10 win avg)

  • Michigan
  • Ohio St.
  • Penn St.
  • USC

Tier II (8 win avg)

  • Iowa
  • Michigan St.
  • Nebraska
  • UCLA
  • Wisconsin

Tier III (6 win avg)

  • Illinois
  • Maryland
  • Minnesota
  • Purdue

Tier IV (sub .500 avg)

  • Indiana
  • Northwestern
  • Rutgers

How would you arrange the B1G teams into these tiers? Should there be more tiers, or different win totals than what I have?

How would you rank teams in other leagues?

(also many apologies to my Hoosier, Wildcat, and Knight bros)