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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/JPAnalyst on 2025-09-27 15:05:07+00:00.


Five years ago, only 19% of all points came off of field goals. This has increased to 24.2% in the first three weeks of 2025. An important caveat is that a three-week sample size can give a false impression of how the season will end up for any metric. Also, we haven’t hit winter yet, so this may impact the % of points coming from FGs later in the year. In 1974, you can see the impact of the NFL moving the goal posts to the back of the endzone.

https://preview.redd.it/5j4627giyprf1.png?width=1320&format=png&auto=webp&s=db486daf2d1aa4fe569028ee531e6da4c1ca4217

Early 2025 is seeing offensive touchdowns making up only 61.6% of all points in a game, down from 66.3% in 2020. Since then, FGs are taking point share from TDs.

https://preview.redd.it/2yl464nnzprf1.png?width=1320&format=png&auto=webp&s=db0e3b1bcfe194428d731f624142079485d5474a

Before the 2-point conversion was added, extra points made up over 11% of all scoring. This is down to about 9% now after two rule changes (2 pts, and moving XPA back to the 15-yard line),

https://preview.redd.it/l5haowi90qrf1.png?width=1323&format=png&auto=webp&s=419e3f3dc431acf9e9c003052c8e26a3fa1dcfbd

After the two-point conversion was added in 1994, everyone got it out of their system and points from 2-pt conversions dropped to only 0.4% of all scoring by 2006. When the NFL made XPAs more difficult, 2-pt scoring started to increase the % mix of scoring. I’m not sure what to attribute this year’s dip to other than small sample size which will likely show mean regression later on.

https://preview.redd.it/o7bb6jvm1qrf1.png?width=1321&format=png&auto=webp&s=a3af92556e05a9900e5c59ee6a4b7c6d943ef841

From 1970 to 2014 defensive touchdowns hovered between 3.5% to 5.5%, but we have seen a decline in defensive TDs % of scoring in the last ten years. I don’t know why.

https://preview.redd.it/2a8kuwto1qrf1.png?width=1318&format=png&auto=webp&s=65024a07d95fc623c99a1330041c2ec318f7e8f0

Special Teams returns as a % of scoring has also ben declining in recent years.

https://preview.redd.it/g2rqgcmb2qrf1.png?width=1321&format=png&auto=webp&s=b91962f036875e8c242aae51c7c09ccc5fbd8537

Here is everything in one chart, although I find this one harder to interpret than the single line charts. This includes a few small categories not shown above.

https://preview.redd.it/qstzc69o2qrf1.png?width=1318&format=png&auto=webp&s=0d86d9e48b57e4f4a713949237df4da84152a081