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The original was posted on /r/nfl by /u/imgurofficial on 2025-10-10 14:31:50+00:00.

As the Eagles begin to sputter, some of us think back to this insane streak and wonder if any of the other 3 teams will overtake Philly. I’ve always wondered what the odds of this streak were; it’s not as simple as a 1 in 4 chance every season, as good teams usually stay good, and bad teams usually stay bad.

It occurred to me, however, that to calculate the odds of a team winning their division twice in a row, it’s as simple as finding out how many times it happened in the other 7 divisions since 2004.

So, after a quick count, there have been 72 instances of a repeat divison champion across the other 7 divisions in the last 20 years. 72 times out of 140 opportunities is a 51.5% hit rate, therefore, in a vacuum, a division has a 48.5% chance of having a new champion each season.

Hitting that 48.5% chance 20 times in a row is .485 to the 20th power… you do that… math… and you get about 1 in 6.8 million. Will Grant Calcaterra and the Eagles break this streak? Stay tuned.