This is an automated archive made by the Lemmit Bot.

The original was posted on /r/dota2 by /u/Hawkie74 on 2023-07-04 17:11:53+00:00.

TL;DR: Sort each table by the expectation (Exp.) column and pick accordingly.

Resources

  • I have made a DPC Fantasy Tracker to help you evaluate your results.
  • The exponentially weighted averages across each player’s 50 most recent tier 1 and 2 pro matches is available in this Google Sheet.
  • This guide is purely a quantitative analysis. For a qualitative analysis, I recommend checking out u/flygon727’s guides.

Gold/Silver Card Bonuses

Please refer to this Google Sheet for what to look for for each individual player, or the table below for what to look for for each role in general.

**Table 1:* The percentage of fantasy points earned by each indicator for each role.*

Indicator Core Mid Support
Camps Stacked 7.67 4.38 12.32
Creep Score 7.82 6.23 1.72
Deaths 14.71 12.69 8.79
First Blood 3.27 0.85 3.29
GPM 9.13 7.51 4.64
Kills 12.18 13.05 6.21
Obs Wards 0.62 3.73 28.01
Roshan Kills 2.65 2.07 0.31
Runes Grabbed 6.65 18.21 9.35
Stuns 7.48 11.76 9.27
Teamfight 13.15 13.29 14.09
Tower Kills 14.67 6.23 2.00

Summer Major 2023

**Table 2:* The schedule.*

Team 1 Team 2 Series Time
Team Liquid PSG.LGD Bo3 2023-07-05 02:00 UTC
BetBoom Team Tundra Esports Bo3 2023-07-05 05:45 UTC
beastcoast Gaimin Gladiators Bo3 2023-07-05 09:30 UTC
Quest Esports Team Aster Bo3 2023-07-05 13:15 UTC

**Table 3:* The potential choices for the Core role.*

Player Team Series Avg. Std. Exp.
JimPark beastcoast Bo3 18.91 6.04 40.26
TA2000 Quest Esports Bo3 16.78 7.48 35.99
Nightfall BetBoom Team Bo3 15.10 4.98 32.21
dyrachyo Gaimin Gladiators Bo3 14.83 4.75 31.62
Monet Team Aster Bo3 14.69 5.16 31.57
shiro PSG.LGD Bo3 14.22 5.51 30.70
skiter Tundra Esports Bo3 14.16 4.48 30.13
m1CKe Team Liquid Bo3 13.47 4.54 28.84
Pure~ BetBoom Team Bo3 12.92 4.48 27.65
Ace ♠ Gaimin Gladiators Bo3 12.65 4.72 27.24
33 Tundra Esports Bo3 12.84 3.46 27.08
AMMAR_THE_F Quest Esports Bo3 12.43 4.43 26.39
zai Team Liquid Bo3 11.87 3.90 25.34
Xxs Team Aster Bo3 11.73 2.97 24.71
niu PSG.LGD Bo3 11.34 4.38 24.46
Sacred beastcoast Bo3 10.53 3.51 22.49

**Table 4:* The potential choices for the Mid role.*

Player Team Series Avg. Std. Exp.
Suma1L- Team Aster Bo3 16.09 4.53 34.09
gpk~ BetBoom Team Bo3 16.18 4.02 33.97
Nisha Team Liquid Bo3 15.77 5.32 33.74
No!ob™ Quest Esports Bo3 15.65 5.11 33.03
DarkMago♡ beastcoast Bo3 15.57 4.53 32.99
Quinn Gaimin Gladiators Bo3 15.25 3.73 32.04
Nine Tundra Esports Bo3 15.24 4.03 32.01
NothingToSay PSG.LGD Bo3 14.45 4.53 30.75

**Table 5:* The potential choices for the Support role.*

Player Team Series Avg. Std. Exp.
tOfu Gaimin Gladiators Bo3 16.20 6.89 35.24
Saksa Tundra Esports Bo3 16.01 4.35 33.58
皮球 Team Aster Bo3 15.97 3.54 33.43
Insania Team Liquid Bo3 15.00 3.45 31.41
Sneyking Tundra Esports Bo3 14.74 3.54 30.93
Seleri Gaimin Gladiators Bo3 14.11 5.77 30.59
TORONTOTOKYO BetBoom Team Bo3 14.12 3.27 29.55
planet PSG.LGD Bo3 13.96 3.98 29.55
stingeR beastcoast Bo3 13.99 3.71 29.49
kaori Quest Esports Bo3 13.77 5.50 29.40
Scofield beastcoast Bo3 13.72 4.15 29.12
WhyouSm1Le PSG.LGD Bo3 13.48 4.47 28.79
BoBoKa Team Aster Bo3 13.43 4.33 28.68
OmaR Quest Esports Bo3 13.47 4.77 28.48
Boxi Team Liquid Bo3 13.04 3.15 27.39
Save- BetBoom Team Bo3 12.73 3.53 26.88

Notes

  • The data has been acquired from OpenDota and datdota.
  • The numbers here are based on each player’s 50 most recent tier 1 and 2 pro matches.
  • Each match has been exponentially weighted such that the most recent matches have the biggest impact.

Glossary

  • Avg.: Average.
  • Std.: Standard deviation.
  • Exp.: Expectation / expected value.
  • Bas. Exp.: Baseline expectation, i.e. the expectation if only the confirmed series are played.
  • Pot. Exp.: Potential expectation, i.e. the expectation if all potential series are played.
  • (BoX): Denotes series that could potentially be played depending on the outcome of earlier series.